The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ibarra 42.1%
Draw 29.9%
Atlético Unión Güímar 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
28%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
20.7%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Atlético Unión Güímar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Unión Güímar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Unión Güímar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group)).
Ibarra has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético Unión Güímar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético Unión Güímar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Atlético Unión Güímar have a series of home games.
Ibarra will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.