Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Buzanada		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.8	3.25	1.89
	3.81	3.56	1.83	Watch
	4.07	3.44	1.88
	3.8	3.25	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (5.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	1.89 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buzanada
24%

Draw
27.6%

Ibarra
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buzanada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buzanada's performance.

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buzanada than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buzanada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buzanada - Ibarra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Buzanada (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buzanada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Lias Montero A. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Ouali N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, Viti ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buzanada won 3.

Buzanada has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibarra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibarra will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ibarra to win the game is with odds 1.99.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Buzanada won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Buzanada won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Buzanada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.03.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Buzanada	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Buzanada - Panadería Pulido	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Tamaraceite - Buzanada	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Buzanada - Las Palmas B	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Buzanada - San Bartolomé	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.03.25	Ibarra - Marino	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Mensajero - Ibarra	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Ibarra - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Arucas - Ibarra	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.11.24	Ibarra - Buzanada	2:0
12.04.24	Buzanada - Ibarra	2:0
24.11.23	Ibarra - Buzanada	3:0
20.03.21	Buzanada - Ibarra	5:0
17.10.20	Ibarra - Buzanada	0:1
31.10.19	Buzanada - Ibarra	0:2
15.02.19	Buzanada - Ibarra	3:1

Buzanada - Ibarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide