Match Info

Baiano - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Carneiro (Alagoinhas)


	Atlético de Alagoinhas		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.55
	2.05	3.2	3.43	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.4
	2.18	3.21	3.36
	2.25	2.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)	2.98 ↓ (3.27)	3.51 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Alagoinhas
43%

Draw
30.8%

Bahia de Feira
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Alagoinhas's form might have worsened.

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patyego (G) 3. Dede (C) 8. Diogo Crispim 16. Everson Ribeiro 6. Gabriel Lima 7. Higor Farias 11. Michael 10. Miller 4. Thawan 2. Van 5. Willian Kaefer	12. Alan (G) 17. Alex Cazumba (C) 11. Arthur Martins 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 4. Dudu 3. Matheus Recife 21. Palacios J. 5. Peterson 10. Ronan 22. Vitinho 6. Wellington Cezar
Substitutes
12. Gabriel Bartelli (G) 19. Galeguinho 13. Hernandes 14. Jefferson 20. Julian Suzuki 15. Pantera D. 17. Paulo Victor 21. Ryan Rocha 18. Walter	14. Brendon 20. Fabricio Neguinho 7. Guilherme Araujo 16. Guilherme Bastos 23. Janilson (G) 18. Joao Cabral 15. Johnata 8. Junior Santos 24. Luciano Grafite 1. Milton Raphael (G) 19. Pedrao 13. Wander

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Matheus Recife 🟨,
45+4', Willian Kaefer 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
74', da Silva Freire M. V. 🟨,
77', Palacios J. ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
78', Peterson ↓, Junior Santos ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 3.

Bahia de Feira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Alagoinhas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Atlético Alagoinhas won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Alagoinhas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Juazeirense - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
27.07.25	Bahia de Feira - Galícia	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Bahia de Feira - Fluminense de Feira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.02.24	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:2
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1
03.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
15.01.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	4:0
30.03.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	1:0
26.03.22	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1
30.01.22	Bahia de Feira - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0

Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide