The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético de Alagoinhas 14.9%
Draw 25.5%
Vitória Salvador 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
28%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
27.8%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético de Alagoinhas's form might have worsened.
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória Salvador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Alagoinhas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovani (G) 13. Davisson 10. Esquerdinha 11. Felipe Cardoso 7. Kaua 8. Lucas Lucena 4. Lucas Sales 5. Menezes 6. Santos A. 3. Souza M. 17. Wanderson Papaterra
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas 27. Caceres R. 7. Gustavo Mosquito 83. Jamerson 39. Janderson 22. Lucas Braga 5. Lucas Halter 77. Neris 10. Wellington Rato 29. Willian Oliveira
Substitutes
14. Batista Santos V. J. 20. Dondom F. 12. Edvaldo (G) 25. Fernandez L. 15. Joao Pedro 18. Leilson 9. Michael 19. Relry 23. Renan (G) 22. Rikelm 16. Victor Luiz
96. Carlos Eduardo 2. Claudinho 43. Edu 21. Gabriel (G) 6. Hugo 47. Marcos Cabrobo 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 28. Ricardo 8. Ronald Lopes 17. Thiaguinho 3. Ze Marcos
Coaches
Liz A.
Thiago Carpini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lucas Halter ⚽,
16', Gustavo Mosquito 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 2, Lucas Braga ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wanderson Papaterra ↓, Michael ↑,
62', Lucas Braga 🟨,
66', Lucas Lucena 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Jamerson ⚽,
72', Kaua ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
72', Lucas Lucena ↓, Leilson ↑,
74', Neris ↓, Edu ↑,
74', Lucas Braga ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
75', Menezes 🟨,
76', Joao Pedro 🟨,
78', 0 - 4, Gustavo Mosquito ⚽,
82', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Marcos Cabrobo ↑,
82', Baralhas ↓, Ricardo ↑,
82', Janderson ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
83', Esquerdinha ↓, Rikelm ↑,
84', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Batista Santos V. J. ↑,
Preview
1st leg.
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Alagoinhas won 0.
Recent matches Atlético Alagoinhas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Vitória is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vitória is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Alagoinhas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Alagoinhas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
Watch
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Giovani (G) 
Caceres R. 
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