Match Info

Baiano - Round 6

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu) (Salvador)


	Galícia		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.92	2.88
	2.21	2.81	2.91
	2.54	3	2.73	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.48	2.89	2.75
	2.66	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)	2.83 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galícia
36.6%

Draw
31.4%

Bahia de Feira
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galícia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bahia de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galícia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Galícia - Bahia de Feira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Puridade (G) 9. Adilson Bahia 6. Carlinhos 2. Da Ilha 5. Gabriel Vieira 11. Gledson 3. Jaques 10. Rafael Mineiro (C) 7. Rogerinho 17. Sandro 4. William	12. Alan (G) 17. Alex Cazumba (C) 11. Arthur Martins 14. Brendon 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 4. Dudu 8. Junior Santos 7. Luciano Grafite 3. Pedrao 5. Peterson 10. Ronan
Substitutes
13. Alex 14. Angelo 21. Augusto Sheik 12. Henrique (G) 4. Hugo* 23. Igor 22. Ivisson 15. Lucas Araujo 16. Luiz Bahia 8. Mayron 20. Popo 18. Tiaguinho	15. Elivelton 20. Fabricio Neguinho 16. Guilherme Bastos 19. Guilherme Silva 23. Janilson (G) 18. Johnata 21. Marcos Vinicius 1. Milton Raphael (G) 13. Wander 6. Wellington Cezar

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Arthur Martins ⚽,
30', Junior Santos 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Luciano Grafite ⚽,
43', Alex Cazumba 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
89', Arthur Martins ↓, Johnata ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Sandro ⚽,

Preview

Galícia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bahia de Feira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Galícia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galícia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
27.01.26	Galícia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Bahia - Galícia	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Galícia - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Galícia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Juazeirense - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
27.07.25	Bahia de Feira - Galícia	2:2
20.07.25	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	0:1
03.05.25	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
05.03.17	Bahia de Feira - Galícia	5:4

Galícia - Bahia de Feira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide