Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 37

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Atlético de Rafaela		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.8	2.65	2.75
	2.8	2.7	2.8	Watch
	2.97	2.67	2.95
	2.91	2.65	2.91	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.8
	2.86	2.68	2.73
	2.8	2.7	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.96)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
32.7%

Draw
34.5%

Colón
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Atlético de Rafaela - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Colón will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Fuyana J. 2. Navarro G. 6. Jappert K. (C) 3. Quiroz F. 5. Capurro J. 10. Tomatis B. 8. Galeano J. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Dichiara R. 11. Pardo M.	1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Herrera E. 6. Lopes H. 2. Goltz P. (C) 3. Henriquez F. 8. Jourdan F. 5. Forneris A. 10. Bernardi C. 7. Talpone N. 9. Rossi G. 11. Guille B.
Substitutes
15. Aguero E. 19. Albertengo G. 13. Colombo R. 16. Fissore M. 12. Grinovero A. (G) 20. Luciani V. 17. Valdivia M. 18. Vidal P. 14. Wuattier E.	17. Antonini J. 16. Delgadillo N. 15. Garrido O. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 13. Greising E. 20. Prediger S. 18. Sonora J. 19. Taborda F. 14. Toledo J.
Coaches
Juarez I.	Osella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Capurro J. ↓, Fissore M. ↑,
33', Quiroz F. 🟨,
35', Goltz P. 🟨,
35', Pardo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Tomatis B. ↓, Albertengo G. ↑,
71', Rossi G. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
73', Dichiara R. ↓, Luciani V. ↑,
73', Galeano J. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
79', Forneris A. 🟨,
80', Bernardi C. ↓, Prediger S. ↑,
80', Jourdan F. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
90', Guille B. ↓, Sonora J. ↑,
90+1', Toledo J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Rafaela won 1.

Atlético Rafaela is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Colón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Rafaela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Atlético Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.10.24	Almirante Brown - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Defensores Unidos - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTT
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.24	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Chaco For Ever - Colón	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Club Almagro - Colón	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Colón - Brown de Adrogué	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.24	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.10.16	Atlético de Rafaela - Colón	0:2
21.04.15	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
24.05.14	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1
26.04.14	Atlético de Rafaela - Colón	1:1
09.06.13	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2
Club Friendly
30.01.13	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	N/A

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