Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Colón		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	4.2	Watch
	2.1	2.65	4
	2.13	2.8	3.95	Watch
	2.22	2.73	4.34
	2.16	2.7	4.31	Watch
	2.1	2.7	4.2
	2.13	2.67	4.2	Watch
	2.13	2.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)	2.73 ↓ (3.3)	4.14 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
43.4%

Draw
34.1%

Defensores de Belgrano
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colón's form might have worsened.

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Colón - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Sanchez F. 6. Thaller N. 2. Ortiz G. (C) 3. Castet F. 8. Barreto J. 5. Forneris A. 7. Talpone N. 10. Taborda F. 9. Gigliotti E. 11. Gallay T.	1. Medina A. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Rodriguez F. 8. Gomez B. 10. Benitez A. 5. Laba M. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Pons F.
Substitutes
16. Bernardi C. 19. Cordoba M. 12. Diaz M. (G) 17. Garrido O. 20. Gimenez A. 13. Ibarra C. 15. Lago I. 14. Negro B. 18. Yunis Z.	18. Cerato L. 15. Correa L. 12. Daus L. (G) 14. Gamarra G. 19. Gonzalez E. 16. Gutierrez I. 17. Sanchez C. 13. Segovia J. 20. Vecchio E.
Coaches
Pereyra A.	Mayor C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Pons F. ⚽,
24', Sanchez F. 🟨,
34', Massaccesi A. 🟥,
38', Gomez B. ↓, Gamarra G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gallay T. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
46', Barreto J. ↓, Lago I. ↑,
58', Moyano P. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
59', Benitez A. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
66', Sanchez F. ↓, Garrido O. ↑,
69', Pons F. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
69', Aguirre E. ↓, Vecchio E. ↑,
74', Forneris A. ↓, Cordoba M. ↑,
85', Rodriguez F. 🟥,
90', Ortiz G. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,

Preview

Colón has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Defensores is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	3:2 ✺
14.04.25	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Colón	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Colón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.04.25	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.25	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
13.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Colón	1:0

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