Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Atlético de Rafaela		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.2
	2.25	2.9	3.25	Watch
	2.31	2.9	3.1
	2.42	2.87	3.53
	2.4	2.8	3.2	Watch
	2.38	2.83	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
39.6%

Draw
32.1%

Sarmiento de Junín
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlético de Rafaela is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sarmiento de Junín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sarmiento de Junín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético de Rafaela will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.01.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
27.12.20	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	0:3 ✺
07.12.20	Atlético de Rafaela - Tigre	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.01.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
03.01.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Deportivo Riestra - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Sarmiento de Junín - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Sarmiento de Junín	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.11.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
01.09.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1
23.04.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.06.17	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de Junín	2:3
30.08.15	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1

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