Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.91
	4	3.25	1.85
	4.65	3.39	1.86
	4.2	3.1	1.85
	4.35	3.32	1.9	Watch
	4.1	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (4.44)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
21.7%

Draw
28.6%

Atlético de Rafaela
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

28.2%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético de Rafaela will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kletnicki C. (G) 4. Pereyra A. 2. Romat N. 6. Cosciuc F. 3. Gargiulo V. 8. Perez R. 11. Tello L. 5. Arzura J. (C) 7. Castaneda D. 9. Molina J. 10. Molina F.	1. Peano M. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Fontanini F. (C) 6. Bravo A. 3. Risso G. 7. Lago I. 5. Soloa F. 8. Valdivia M. 10. Luna A. 9. Bieler C. 11. Lamendola N.
Substitutes
20. Barberini V. 19. Conberse B. 17. Forlani S. 15. Gaitan N. 14. Maidana L. 16. Nievas A. 18. Rivadeneira M. 13. Rosso F. 12. Salerno F. (G)	20. Albertengo G. 17. Arevalos N. 12. Bergia M. (G) 18. Biolatto L. 16. Delgadillo N. 19. Funez N. 14. Olguin M. 13. Osores M. 15. Torres F.
Coaches
Benitez J.	Medran E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 1.

Villa Dálmine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Rafaela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	1:0
20.02.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	1:1
31.07.21	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
19.03.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	0:0
20.12.20	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2
09.11.19	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
01.02.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	0:1

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