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Current Win Probability
Castellonense 45.2%
Draw 32.1%
La Nucía 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
30.7%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
31.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Nucía might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Castellonense - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Garijo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Castellonense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).