The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal C 29.5%
Draw 30.7%
La Nucía 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
30.6%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal C's form might have worsened.
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Nucía, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villarreal C - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
La Nucía may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Villarreal C
5
4
0
1
8:4
4
12
Last Results with these Odds
Villarreal C - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
La Nucía - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.