Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Aubstadt		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.45	3.1
	2.09	3.55	3.18
	2.09	3.59	3.04
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.04	3.45	3.11
	2.24	3.58	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	3.01 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
43.4%

Draw
26.3%

Buchbach
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Aubstadt - Buchbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Pitter T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Grimm M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Bahar S. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 3 - 1, Sturm S. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Sturm S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 2.

Recent performances by Aubstadt have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buchbach is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buchbach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buchbach	12	8	3	1	25:11	14	27
18	Aubstadt	11	2	2	7	14:20	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aubstadt - Ansbach	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	3:3 ✺
18.03.26	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTW
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Buchbach - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unterhaching - Buchbach	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Wacker Burghausen - Buchbach	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Buchbach - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Buchbach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
26.09.25	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4
10.05.25	Aubstadt - Buchbach	1:1
22.10.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	3:2
18.05.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	5:2
21.10.23	Aubstadt - Buchbach	3:1
25.03.23	Aubstadt - Buchbach	0:2
02.09.22	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4

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