Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Illertissen		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.95
	1.59	4	5.07
	1.57	4.07	4.86
	1.51	3.9	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	3.98 ↑ (3.79)	5.08 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
58.8%

Draw
23.1%

Aubstadt
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Illertissen - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Glessing Y. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 5.

Illertissen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aubstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Illertissen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aubstadt has had a series of home games.

In this match, Illertissen is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
18	Aubstadt	11	2	2	7	14:20	-6	8

Last Results with these Odds

Illertissen - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
02.04.26	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ansbach - Illertissen	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Unterhaching - Illertissen	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Illertissen - Memmingen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLT
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
02.04.26	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aubstadt - Ansbach	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	3:3 ✺
18.03.26	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Aubstadt - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Aubstadt - Illertissen	3:5
16.11.24	Aubstadt - Illertissen	1:3
02.08.24	Illertissen - Aubstadt	3:1
20.04.24	Aubstadt - Illertissen	0:2
03.10.23	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:0
01.04.23	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:3
10.09.22	Aubstadt - Illertissen	4:1

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