Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Keith Hay Park (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Auckland United		Wellington Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.95	1.98
	3	4.26	2.02
	2.71	4.19	2.13	Watch
	2.79	3.95	2.04
	2.83	4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.71)	4.07 ↓ (4.19)	2.03 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland United
32.5%

Draw
22.5%

Wellington Olympic
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

21.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Wellington Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Olympic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Auckland United - Wellington Olympic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 3).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Auckland United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland United
New Zealand National League
22.11.25	Western Suburbs - Auckland United	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Auckland United - Birkenhead United	3:2 ✺
07.11.25	Auckland City - Auckland United	4:2 ✺
31.10.25	Auckland United - Coastal Spirit	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
21.11.25	Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Olympic	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Western Suburbs	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Birkenhead United - Wellington Olympic	2:4 ✺
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Chatham Cup
06.09.25	Auckland United - Wellington Olympic	2:4
New Zealand National League
20.10.23	Auckland United - Wellington Olympic	1:3
04.11.22	Wellington Olympic - Auckland United	3:1

Auckland United - Wellington Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide