Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 11

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Kiwitea Street (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Auckland City		Coastal Spirit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	5.15	7.3	Watch
	1.3	5.3	8.03
	1.34	5.23	7.69	Watch
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.29	5	7.9
	1.28	5.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	5.1 ↑ (4.77)	7.57 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
70.1%

Draw
17.9%

Coastal Spirit
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.9%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland City's performance.

Coastal Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coastal Spirit than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Auckland City - Coastal Spirit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Auckland City (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland City (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

Auckland City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coastal Spirit is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Auckland City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Auckland City is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auckland City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Including home match between the teams, Auckland City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
29.11.25	Western Springs - Auckland City	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Auckland City - Auckland United	4:2 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWT
- Coastal Spirit FC
New Zealand National League
22.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Western Springs	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Coastal Spirit	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Miramar Rangers	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Auckland United - Coastal Spirit	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
23.11.24	Auckland City - Coastal Spirit	5:1

Auckland City - Coastal Spirit: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide