Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 9

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Wakefield Park (Wellington)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Wellington Olympic		Christchurch United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.95	3.4	Watch
	1.80	4.20	3.52	Watch
	1.72	4.05	3.68
	2	3.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	4.04 ↑ (3.95)	3.43 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington Olympic
50.5%

Draw
22.7%

Christchurch United
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Christchurch United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Olympic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christchurch United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Wellington Olympic (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington Olympic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 2, ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final: Final) and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Christchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wellington Olympic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wellington Olympic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington Olympic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Olympic
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Auckland FC 2 - Wellington Olympic	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Western Suburbs	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Birkenhead United - Wellington Olympic	2:4 ✺
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Wellington Olympic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Christchurch United
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Christchurch United - Western Suburbs	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Birkenhead United - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
03.11.23	Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United	5:2
18.11.22	Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United	7:1

Wellington Olympic - Christchurch United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide