Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Auda Riga		Dinamo Rīga

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.75
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.41	4.3	5.2
	1.41	4.5	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.48 ↓ (4.5)	5.6 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
63.9%

Draw
20.1%

Dinamo Rīga
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

12.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Dinamo Rīga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Rīga than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Rīga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Optibet Virsliga and 7).

Auda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dinamo Rīga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dinamo Rīga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Auda is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auda to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Auda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Auda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian 1 Liga
29.09.21	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	1:5 ✺
25.09.21	Rēzekne - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Auda Riga - Smiltene	7:0 ✺
28.08.21	Auda Riga - JDFS Alberts	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTTWW
- FK Dinamo Rīga
Latvian 1 Liga
11.09.21	Dinamo Rīga - Rēzekne	2:2 ✺
08.09.21	Grobiņa - Dinamo Rīga	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Tukums 2000 - Dinamo Rīga	0:2 ✺
28.08.21	Dinamo Rīga - Smiltene	3:1
Latvian Cup
22.08.21	Valmiera - Dinamo Rīga	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
24.07.21	Dinamo Rīga - Auda Riga	0:2
03.10.20	Auda Riga - Dinamo Rīga	2:1

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