Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Auda Riga		Lokomotiv Daugavpils

	1	X	2
	4	5	1.48
	4	5	1.5
	5	5.2	1.35
	4.6	4	1.55
	5.25	5.15	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (3.94)	4.87 ↓ (4.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auda Riga
19.6%

Draw
18.4%

Lokomotiv Daugavpils
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

18.2%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

15%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Lokomotiv Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Daugavpils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auda Riga - Lokomotiv Daugavpils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Optibet Virsliga (Promotion) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Optibet Virsliga).

Auda is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotiv Daugavpils in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Lokomotiv Daugavpils have a series of home games.

In this match Lokomotiv Daugavpils is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Auda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auda Riga
Latvian 1 Liga
13.09.20	JDFS Alberts - Auda Riga	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
05.09.20	Auda Riga - Super Nova	5:1 ET
Latvian 1 Liga
29.08.20	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
23.08.20	Tente - Auda Riga	0:2
Latvian 1 Liga
19.08.20	Auda Riga - Saldus SS Leevon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW
- FC Lokomotiv Daugavpils
Latvian 1 Liga
12.09.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Rēzekne	5:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
05.09.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Albatroz SC-FS Jelgava	3:2
Latvian 1 Liga
29.08.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Dinamo Rīga	1:0 ✺
19.08.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Super Nova	3:0 ✺
09.08.20	JDFS Alberts - Lokomotiv Daugavpils	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
11.07.20	Lokomotiv Daugavpils - Auda Riga	2:0

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