Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Lavello

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.35	3.75
	1.81	3.2	3.75
	1.76	3.25	3.62
	1.92	3.1	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.79 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
49.1%

Draw
27.3%

Lavello
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

18.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Lavello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavello than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audace Cerignola - Lavello Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
31.10.21	Audace Cerignola - Nardo	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	2:2 ✺
20.10.21	Audace Cerignola - Bisceglie	4:0 ✺
17.10.21	Gravina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWW
- USD Lavello
Italian Serie D - Group H
31.10.21	Lavello - Gravina	3:3 ✺
24.10.21	Nardo - Lavello	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Lavello - Casarano	4:1 ✺
17.10.21	Bisceglie - Lavello	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Lavello - Nola	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.03.21	Audace Cerignola - Lavello	3:0
22.11.20	Lavello - Audace Cerignola	0:0

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