Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Casertana		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.21	4.08
	2.09	3.18	3.39	Watch
	1.91	3	3.6
	1.92	3.08	3.91	Watch
	1.94	3.25	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	3.69 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
46.5%

Draw
28.8%

Audace Cerignola
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Casertana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Casertana - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 23. Martino P. 6. Heinz J. 33. Rocchi G. 18. Oukhadda S. 20. Bentivegna A. 21. Girelli S. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 25. Toscano M. (C) 90. Casarotto M. 7. Butic K.	1. Russo A. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. (C) 15. Ligi A. 4. Vitale G. 83. Ruggiero Z. 58. Cretella C. 10. Paolucci L. 3. Russo L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 94. Liotti D. 12. Merolla E. (G) 16. Pezzella S. 8. Proia F. 99. Saco C. 81. Severino G. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.	17. Ballabile E. 37. Bassino A. 45. Cocorocchio M. 7. Dabizas A. 22. Fares G. (G) 23. Gasbarro A. 71. Ianzano D. 39. Iervolino A. 31. Iliev V. (G) 86. Labranca R. 24. Moreso O. 26. Nanula D. 25. Spaltro R. 90. Tarantino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Girelli S. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Girelli S. ⚽,
18', 3 - 0, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
28', Toscano M. 🟨,
42', 4 - 0, Butic K. ⚽,
45+1', Gambale D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toscano M. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
60', Bentivegna A. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
65', Martino P. 🟨,
73', Gambale D. ↓, Tarantino J. ↑,
73', D'Orazio L. ↓, Ntampizas K. ↑,
74', Rocchi G. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
74', Girelli S. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
84', Heinz J. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
85', Cretella C. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
86', Vitale G. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
86', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 0.

Casertana is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Audace Cerignola has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Casertana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Casertana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
5	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
04.04.26	Cavese - Casertana	0:1 ✺
30.03.26	Casertana - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atalanta U23 - Casertana	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Casertana - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Catania - Casertana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWWT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Audace Cerignola - Latina	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Audace Cerignola - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Atalanta U23 - Audace Cerignola	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	1:1
10.02.25	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	0:1
29.09.24	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
07.03.24	Casertana - Audace Cerignola	1:1
29.10.23	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	2:4
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	3:0

Casertana - Audace Cerignola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide