Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 27

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Nuova Monterosi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.55	3.75	6	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.55	3.95	6.34
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.48	3.76	6.01
	1.51	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)	3.78 ↓ (4.45)	5.91 ↓ (8.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
60.4%

Draw
24.2%

Nuova Monterosi
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

20.6%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

19.3%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audace Cerignola's form might have worsened.

Nuova Monterosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuova Monterosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Barosi D. (G) 7. Coccia G. 4. Allegrini G. 23. Gonnelli L. 3. Russo L. 29. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 20. Miguel Angel 11. Leonetti V. 9. Malcore G. 99. Vuthaj D.	67. Forte F. (G) 23. Sini S. 33. Mbende E. 19. Piroli D. 4. Verde F. 18. Parlati S. 32. Scarsella F. 25. Gori M. 21. Gavioli L. 91. Vano M. 9. Eusepi U.
Substitutes
18. Bezzon A. 13. Bianchini G. 8. Bianco R. 80. Carnevale A. 10. Lombardi L. 33. Pinnelli A. (G) 34. Rizzo A. 24. Ruggiero Z. 21. Tentardini A. 22. Trezza S. (G) 6. Visentin S.	5. Crescenzi A. 27. Crivello R. 8. Di Francesco D. 17. Fantacci T. 77. Ferreri G. 12. Rigon A. (G) 11. Rossi A. 99. Silipo A. 16. Tartaglia A. 30. Tolomello F.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Audace Cerignola is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Monterosi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.24	Benevento - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Audace Cerignola - Taranto	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Juve Stabia - Audace Cerignola	4:0 ✺
27.01.24	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	4:2 ✺
20.01.24	Città di Brindisi - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLWT
- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
15.02.24	Casertana - Nuova Monterosi	4:3 ✺
10.02.24	Nuova Monterosi - Potenza	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Taranto - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Nuova Monterosi - Città di Brindisi	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Latina - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	0:3
23.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi	3:0
04.09.22	Nuova Monterosi - Audace Cerignola	3:0

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