Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena


	Audace Cerignola		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.58	3.1	2.62
	2.54	3.35	2.59	Watch
	2.56	2.96	2.6	Watch
	2.71	3.1	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	2.6 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
35.3%

Draw
29.3%

Crotone
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audace Cerignola's form might have worsened.

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Audace Cerignola - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Iliev V. (G) 58. Cretella C. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D. 23. Gasbarro A. 5. Martinelli L. 10. Paolucci L. 99. Parlato C. 3. Russo L. 2. Todisco G. 4. Vitale G.	1. Merelli D. (G) 20. Berra F. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 9. Gomez G. 23. Groppelli F. 27. Maggio M. 18. Piovanello E. 21. Sandri M. 7. Vinicius 96. Zunno M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maggio M. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Gambale D. ⚽,
63', D'Orazio L. ↓, Cuppone L. ↑,
63', Vitale G. ↓, Bianchini G. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Cretella C. ⚽,
70', Cargnelutti R. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
70', Sandri M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
72', Cretella C. 🟨,
75', Cretella C. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
76', Gambale D. ↓, Emmausso M. ↑,
79', Vinicius ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
84', Bianchini G. 🟨,
87', Piovanello E. ↓, Vrenna M. ↑,
90', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
90+1', Zunno M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
16.11.25	Giugliano - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sorrento - Audace Cerignola	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Atalanta U23	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Trapani - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.25	Crotone - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Salernitana - Crotone	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Crotone - Trapani	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Crotone - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.25	Cavese - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
16.03.25	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	2:1
03.11.24	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	1:1
27.01.24	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	4:2
21.09.23	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	1:1
08.04.23	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	0:1
04.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	0:1

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