Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 7

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Audax Rio		Ipatinga

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.57	2.76	2.83
	2.56	2.75	2.82
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.53	2.97	2.67
	2.65	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.27)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
35.1%

Draw
31.5%

Ipatinga
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.9%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audax Rio's performance.

Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipatinga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ipatinga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Audax Rio - Ipatinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Audax Rio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ipatinga is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Audax Rio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
05.06.24	Audax Rio - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Noroeste - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
29.05.24	Olaria - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Audax Rio - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.05.24	Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWTT
- Ipatinga
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.24	Ipatinga - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
24.05.24	Serra - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Ipatinga - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Democrata SL - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ipatinga - Itabuna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLL

Audax Rio - Ipatinga

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Audax Rio - Ipatinga Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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