Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 4

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ipatinga		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.5	3	2.87
	2.51	2.8	2.87
	2.45	3.12	2.84
	2.4	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)	3.01 ↓ (3.27)	2.81 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipatinga
37.3%

Draw
30.2%

Noroeste
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

28.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ipatinga - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Douglas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, Tígrao O. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Ipatinga has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Noroeste is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ipatinga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ipatinga have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipatinga
Brazilian Serie D
13.05.24	Democrata SL - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ipatinga - Itabuna	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	Portuguesa RJ - Ipatinga	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.24	Democrata GV - Ipatinga	4:1 ✺
21.03.24	Patrocinense - Ipatinga	Ipatinga awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTL?
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
15.05.24	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.05.24	Noroeste - Serra	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
08.05.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.05.24	Noroeste - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Itabuna - Noroeste	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTT

Ipatinga - Noroeste

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ipatinga - Noroeste Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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