Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 4Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ipatinga |
|
Noroeste |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.95 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.51 |
2.8 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.12 |
2.84 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.37) |
3.01 ↓
(3.27) |
2.81 ↓
(2.83) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ipatinga
37.3% | Draw
30.2% | Noroeste
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Ipatinga - Noroeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Douglas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 0, Tígrao O. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6). Ipatinga has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Noroeste is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Ipatinga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Ipatinga have a series of guest games. In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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