Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 6

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Audax Rio		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.45
	2.78	2.98	2.62
				Watch
	2.68	2.9	2.55
	2.78	2.98	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)	2.94 ↓ (3.28)	2.56 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
33.3%

Draw
31%

Duque de Caxias
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Audax Rio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Diego Macedo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Rio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home match between the teams, Audax Rio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.06.25	Olaria - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Audax Rio - Bangu	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Audax Rio - Resende	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLW
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.06.25	Duque de Caxias - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Bangu - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
21.05.25	Resende - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.05.24	Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias	1:1
24.07.21	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	0:1
10.10.20	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.14	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	1:0
21.04.13	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	0:1

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