Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday


	Audax Rio		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.04	3.11	3.46
	2.04	3.18	3.53	Watch
	2	3.18	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.82)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	3.46 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
44.9%

Draw
28.9%

Petrópolis
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Rio's form might have worsened.

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Rio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Audax Rio - Petrópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Gonçalense have a series of home games.

In this match Audax Rio is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Rio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Copa Rio
22.08.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.08.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	4:3 ✺
04.08.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWLW
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Copa Rio
22.08.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
31.07.24	Petrópolis - Araruama	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Serrano FC - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Petrópolis - Artsul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
22.08.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	0:3
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
27.07.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:2
04.09.21	Audax Rio - Petrópolis	3:1
28.08.21	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:2
25.08.21	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	2:0
21.07.21	Audax Rio - Petrópolis	5:1
19.09.20	Audax Rio - Petrópolis	2:3

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