Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 10

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Audax Rio		Resende

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.10	1.68
	4.50	3.35	1.66
	4.92	3.04	1.83
	4.50	2.90	1.92	Watch
	4.55	3.00	1.80
	4.86	3.33	1.74
	3.45	2.85	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.08 ↑ (2.85)	1.82 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
20.1%

Draw
29.6%

Resende
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

31.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

29.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Rio's form might have worsened.

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Resende's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Audax Rio - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Daniel Bolt ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 0, Douglas Valle (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Rio won 3.

Audax Rio has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Resende is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Audax Rio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Resende is the team to beat.

We predict that Resende will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Audax Rio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Audax Rio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Audax Rio - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Resende FC
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Resende - Belford Roxo	8:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	Resende - Serrano FC	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Belford Roxo - Resende	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.06.26	Bonsucesso - Resende	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Resende - Araruama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
18.05.25	Audax Rio - Resende	2:1
24.07.24	Resende - Audax Rio	3:3
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.23	Resende - Audax Rio	0:2
07.02.22	Resende - Audax Rio	0:1
22.01.14	Audax Rio - Resende	0:0
13.04.13	Resende - Audax Rio	2:1

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