Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	Auerbach		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.88
	3.6	3.8	1.8
	3.18	3.69	2.09
	4.2	3.5	1.72
	3.18	3.86	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.95)	3.67 ↓ (3.71)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auerbach
26.3%

Draw
25.2%

Babelsberg
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.8%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.1%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Babelsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auerbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Babelsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auerbach - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Auerbach is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Babelsberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auerbach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Babelsberg is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Auerbach won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Auerbach won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.10.21	Auerbach - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Chemie Leipzig - Auerbach	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Auerbach - Hertha Berlin II	3:2 ✺
01.09.21	Tasmania Berlin - Auerbach	3:1 ✺
29.08.21	Auerbach - Meuselwitz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLL
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.10.21	Babelsberg - Berliner AK 07	1:2 ✺
26.09.21	Union Fürstenwalde - Babelsberg	1:4 ✺
22.09.21	Hertha Berlin II - Babelsberg	0:3 ✺
17.09.21	Babelsberg - Tennis Borussia Berlin	4:2 ✺
31.08.21	Babelsberg - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
28.10.20	Babelsberg - Auerbach	3:0
02.11.19	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:0
18.05.19	Auerbach - Babelsberg	1:0
24.11.18	Babelsberg - Auerbach	5:0
17.04.18	Babelsberg - Auerbach	0:2
28.10.17	Auerbach - Babelsberg	2:2
20.05.17	Babelsberg - Auerbach	4:0

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