Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions (Ilūkste)


	Augšdaugavas		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.7	1.62
	3.97	3.62	1.79	Watch
	4.36	3.7	1.67
	4.22	3.81	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4.18)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augšdaugavas
21.7%

Draw
24.6%

Mārupe
53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Augšdaugavas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Mārupe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augšdaugavas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Augšdaugavas - Mārupe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fastov A. (G) 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 3. Kharchilava S. 22. Kirikovs A. 21. Kokins O. O. 99. Quaye D. 15. Rublevskis M. (C) 10. Skrinda N. 33. Sokolovs V. 7. Volosovs T.	1. Zandreiters R. (G) 11. Cebotarjovs V. 41. Garais P. 26. Jansons K. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 37. Korzans R. 14. Oliynyk M. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G.
Substitutes
23. Avdejevs D. 77. Haritonovs M. 70. Kitsel V. 16. Lemonjava G. 9. Linards R. 25. Petersons M. 11. Pinaskins E. 14. Shokun O. 20. Vinokurovs A.	12. Bareika K. (G) 18. Roga R. 15. Seliverstovs A. 13. Steinbergs T. 16. Sula M. 22. Zarovs N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Sokolovs V. ↓, Lemonjava G. ↑,
29', 0 - 1, Korzans R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kirikovs A. 🟨,
58', Volosovs T. ↓, Linards R. ↑,
58', Kokins O. O. ↓, Avdejevs D. ↑,
58', Borisovs E. ↓, Shokun O. ↑,
64', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Sula M. ↑,
71', Korzans R. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
72', Skrinda N. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,
77', Buks R. 🟨,
90', Oliynyk M. ↓, Seliverstovs A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation) and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mārupe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mārupe is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Augšdaugava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian 1 Liga
26.07.25	Augšdaugavas - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Augšdaugavas - Riga 2	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	JDFS Alberts - Augšdaugavas	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Augšdaugavas - Rīgas FS 2	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Smiltene - Augšdaugavas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWTTL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
27.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Ogre United - Mārupe	3:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.25	Mārupe - Metta	1:4 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.25	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Olaine - Mārupe	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
06.04.25	Mārupe - Augšdaugavas	2:0

Augšdaugavas - Mārupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide