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Current Win Probability
Aurora 29.4%
Draw 24.4%
Always Ready 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
23.9%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
23.8%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.
Always Ready has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Always Ready's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Always Ready, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Aurora - Always Ready Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Always Ready will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 16. Barro L. 19. Sanchez E. 5. Amarilla A. 69. Terrazas A. 10. Ramallo R. 8. Viviani L.
1. Baroja A. (G) 18. Rodriguez C. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 3. Caicedo L. 5. Suarez M. 13. Cuellar H. 10. Maraude J. 20. Saucedo F. (C) 19. Torrico D. 17. Nava F. 9. Triverio E.
Substitutes
2. Aguada M. 20. Araujo J. 27. Flores A. 11. Olivera D. 7. Ramos J. 18. Rojas S. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 33. Troncoso Caiti E. 28. Vaca O.
7. Amoroso J. 44. Cabrera N. 38. Cuestas S. 23. Godoy J. 6. Lima R. 26. Mamani M. 14. Medina Rodriguez C. D. 21. Rambal A. 15. Rodriguez D. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 4. Villarroel N.
Coaches
Umana G.
Baldivieso J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
40', Suarez M. 🟨,
44', Nava F. 🟨,
44', Altamirano S. ↓, Troncoso Caiti E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Torrico D. ↓, Lima R. ↑,
52', Caicedo L. 🟨,
59', Triverio E. 🟨,
61', Nava F. ↓, Amoroso J. ↑,
69', Sanchez E. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
74', Cuellar H. 🟨,
75', Suarez M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Saucedo F. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
77', Barboza L. 🟨,
87', Gomez Miranda R. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Godoy J. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
90+1', Ramallo R. 🟨,
90+4', Terrazas A. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Ramos J. ⚽, Ortiz M. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 2-1. Aggregate: 5-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1.
Aurora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Always Ready has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Always Ready may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Always Ready has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Always Ready
20
13
6
1
47:13
34
45
6
Aurora
20
7
9
4
31:27
4
30
Last Results with these Odds
Always Ready - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.