Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)


	Aurora		Municipal

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	1.95
	3.35	3.2	1.95
	3.65	3.42	1.99
	3.57	3.39	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.98
	3.37	3.73	1.98
	3.3	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	3.35 ↑ (2.95)	1.98 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
26.5%

Draw
27.3%

Municipal
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Aurora - Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 17. Bajan D. 29. Del Cid H. 27. Flores C. 5. Lemus J. 52. Mingorance P. (C) 4. Monterroso C. 7. Rodriguez J. 31. Urias V. 10. Vivas J.	1. Linares B. (G) 23. Aguilar C. 10. Altan P. 26. Barrientos R. 33. Cabeza A. 14. Franco J. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. (C) 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 4. Samayoa N.
Substitutes
2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 15. Garcia K. 18. Grajeda J. . Hernandez R. 11. Ibarguen E. 13. Morales H. 1. Navas D. (G) 9. Ruiz D.	20. Archila C. 11. Bantes J. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. . Ellington E. 19. Hernandez C. 32. Lopez E. 12. Navarro K. (G) 8. Saravia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Mendez J. ⚽,
32', Mingorance P. 🟨,
41', Aguilar C. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lemus J. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
46', Aguilar C. ↓, David A. ↑,
46', Del Cid H. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
51', Mendez J. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', Samayoa N. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
71', Munoz R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
74', Urias V. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
74', Mingorance P. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Lopez E. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
81', Rodriguez J. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
82', Altan P. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
83', Flores C. 🟨,

Preview

Aurora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Municipal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Municipal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Municipal	10	7	2	1	16:5	11	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.09.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Aurora - Suchitepéquez	3:2 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Aurora - Comunicaciones	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.09.26	Municipal - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Comunicaciones - Municipal	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.08.26	Municipal - Motagua	1:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Municipal - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD FAS - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.03.26	Municipal - Aurora	4:1
25.01.26	Aurora - Municipal	2:2
05.10.25	Aurora - Municipal	1:0
26.07.25	Municipal - Aurora	2:1

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