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Current Win Probability
Aurora 47.2%
Draw 27.7%
Malacateco 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
29.2%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
28.3%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malacateco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malacateco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aurora - Malacateco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Sanchez L. (G) . Acosta M. . Bajan D. . Contreras L. . Diaz A. . Flores C. . Grajeda J. . Lemus J. . Ruiz D. . Urias V. . Vivas J.
25. Jimenez M. (G) 11. Andrade N. . Chun M. . de Leon I. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 77. Longo J. 16. Morales A. . Morales F. 10. Ochoa J. . Perez S. 56. Vasquez G.
Substitutes
. Del Cid H. . Hernandez R. . Ibarguen E. . Mingorance P. . Monterroso C. . Morales H. . Navas D. (G) . Rodriguez J. . Ticuru J.
. Cummings H. . Guzman A. (G) 17. Meneses R. 27. Paz V. 29. Quinones E. 8. Ramirez K. . Sanchez D. 55. Soto A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Vasquez G. 🟥,
29', Lemus J. 🟨,
39', Vivas J. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 0, Ruiz D. ⚽,
45+3', Chun M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Contreras L. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
46', Lemus J. ↓, Monterroso C. ↑,
57', Perez S. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
57', Ochoa J. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
62', Ruiz D. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
69', Morales F. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
69', de Leon I. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
70', Vivas J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
84', Longo J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
87', Bajan D. ↓, Mingorance P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Malacateco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Watch
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Sanchez L. (G) 
Acosta M. 
Bajan D. 
Vivas J. 
Mingorance P. 
Cummings H. 
Sanchez D. 
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