Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aurora Alto Casertano		Chieti

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Aurora Alto Casertano
21.5%

Draw
28.3%

Chieti
50.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.9%

29.1%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.2%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora Alto Casertano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora Alto Casertano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Alto Casertano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chieti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chieti will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Chieti to win the game is with odds 1.93.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Alto Casertano
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Vastese - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
05.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Fano	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Nereto - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.12.21	Chieti - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Montegiorgio - Chieti	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Chieti - Notaresco	0:2 ✺
21.11.21	Sambenedettese - Chieti	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Matese - Chieti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWLTT

Aurora Alto Casertano - Chieti