Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group F - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)


	Sambenedettese		Chieti

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.52	3.85	5.4
				Watch
	1.48	3.8	5.75
	1.47	3.84	6.33
	1.52	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	3.75 ↑ (3.49)	5.38 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
58.9%

Draw
24.2%

Chieti
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambenedettese's performance.

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambenedettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Sambenedettese - Chieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Eusepi U. ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, Kerjota S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 1.

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chieti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.03.25	Ancona - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sambenedettese - Isernia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Roma City - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TWLTT
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.03.25	Chieti - Sora	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Chieti - Fermana	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Teramo - Chieti	2:3 ✺
02.02.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Castelfidardo - Chieti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
10.11.24	Chieti - Sambenedettese	0:0
28.03.24	Sambenedettese - Chieti	1:1
19.11.23	Chieti - Sambenedettese	2:2
22.01.23	Sambenedettese - Chieti	1:2
18.09.22	Chieti - Sambenedettese	0:3
03.04.22	Chieti - Sambenedettese	1:1
21.11.21	Sambenedettese - Chieti	0:0

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