Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Beasain

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.62
	5.35	3.17	1.66
	5.11	3.48	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↓ (6.27)	3.32 ↓ (3.9)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
17.5%

Draw
27.2%

Beasain
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

23.2%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

22.7%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Aurrerá Ondarroa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Beasain is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beasain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beasain is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.02.24	Portugalete - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Derio	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.02.24	Beasain - Basconia	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Añorga - Beasain	3:4 ✺
27.01.24	Beasain - Alavés C	4:1 ✺
20.01.24	Beasain - Deusto	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Leioa - Beasain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.03.22	Beasain - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0
06.11.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain	1:4
24.01.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain	1:1

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide