Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Basconia		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.44	3.85	5.95
	1.45	3.83	5.95
	1.45	4.05	6.43
	1.44	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	4.06 ↓ (4.75)	5.93 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Basconia
62.5%

Draw
22.3%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Basconia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aurrerá Ondarroa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basconia is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Basconia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.01.24	Urduliz - Basconia	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Añorga - Basconia	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Basconia - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Deusto - Basconia	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Basconia - Leioa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Añorga	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Alavés C - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Deusto	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Leioa - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
25.02.23	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0
22.10.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Basconia	1:0
14.04.22	Basconia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:2
08.12.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Basconia	2:0

Upcoming Matches