Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Leioa		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.65	3.5
	2.2	2.7	3.6
	2.25	2.59	3.73
	2.25	2.68	3.71	Watch
	2.2	2.82	3.66
	2.2	2.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	2.69 ↓ (3.25)	3.63 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leioa
41.2%

Draw
33.8%

Beasain
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leioa - Beasain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leioa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leioa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Garcia I. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Pita M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.

In recent matches, Leioa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beasain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Beasain has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Eibar C - Leioa	2:5 ✺
03.05.25	Leioa - Touring KE	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Deusto - Leioa	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Leioa - Durango	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Beasain - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Beasain - Derio	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Santurtzi - Beasain	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Beasain - Pasaia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.05.25	Beasain - Leioa	1:0
08.03.25	Leioa - Beasain	1:1
26.10.24	Beasain - Leioa	0:1
14.01.24	Leioa - Beasain	2:0
30.04.22	Leioa - Beasain	3:3
19.12.21	Beasain - Leioa	2:1

Leioa - Beasain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide