Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 9

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Aurrerá Ondarroa		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.6
	5.48	3.32	1.59
	5.48	3.32	1.59
	5.6	3.54	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (5.31)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurrerá Ondarroa
16.7%

Draw
26.5%

Vitoria
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

26.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

26.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Aurrerá Ondarroa aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Aurrerá Ondarroa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitoria is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vitoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Pasaia - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Touring KE - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Portugalete	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Vitoria - Basconia	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Añorga - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Vitoria - Alavés C	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Deusto - Vitoria	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Vitoria - Leioa	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.03.23	Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0
05.11.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	1:0
16.02.22	Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0
12.10.21	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria	0:2

Aurrerá Ondarroa - Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide