Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Vitoria		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.7	3.26	4.01
	1.65	3.45	4.76
	1.62	3.6	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	4.41 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria
53.5%

Draw
26.1%

Basconia
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitoria won 2.

Vitoria is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basconia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vitoria to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vitoria won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitoria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.10.23	Añorga - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Vitoria - Alavés C	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Deusto - Vitoria	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Vitoria - Leioa	6:0 ✺
23.09.23	Durango - Vitoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.10.23	Basconia - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Padura - Basconia	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Basconia - Touring KE	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	San Ignacio - Basconia	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Basconia - Beasain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.03.23	Vitoria - Basconia	1:2
29.10.22	Basconia - Vitoria	1:0
06.03.22	Basconia - Vitoria	1:2
30.10.21	Vitoria - Basconia	0:2
28.10.20	Basconia - Vitoria	0:2
09.02.20	Vitoria - Basconia	3:0
18.09.19	Basconia - Vitoria	1:2

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