The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurrerá Ondarroa 30.3%
Draw 33.8%
Padura 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
31.7%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
33.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Padura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurrerá Ondarroa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padura than the current prediction. (-4%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Aurrerá Ondarroa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Padura is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Aurrerá Ondarroa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.