Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 2
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX Network, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass


	Austin FC		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4.5
	1.88	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.77	4.25	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.78	4.17	4.04	Watch
	1.88	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	4.27 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (KNIN-Boise, ID)

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
52.6%

Draw
25.1%

Portland Timbers
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Austin FC - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Portland will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Portland (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 4. Hines-Ike B. (C) 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Bukari O. 8. Pereira D. 14. Sabovic B. 33. Wolff O. 10. Uzuni M. 9. Vazquez B.	41. Pantemis J. (G) 11. Antony 20. Surman F. 29. Mosquera J. 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 30. Moreno S. 24. Ayala D. 80. Ortiz J. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 9. Mora F. (C)
Substitutes
18. Cascante J. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 26. Farkarlun B. 19. Fodrey C. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 6. Sanchez I. 39. Thomas R.	5. Bravo C. 21. Chara D. 16. Crepeau M. (G) 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 17. Paredes C. 23. Smith I. 13. Zuparic D.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Neville P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Wolff O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Ortiz J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
61', Sabovic B. 🟨,
68', Pereira da Costa D. 🟨,
71', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
73', Fory J. 🟨,
74', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
75', Antony 🟨,
83', Sabovic B. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
83', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
83', Mosquera J. ↓, Miller E. ↑,
83', Moreno S. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
90', Wolff O. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
90+2', Gallagher J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Austin won 1.

Recent matches Austin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Austin is a favorite.

There will not play in Austin: Desler M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Araujo M. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Miller E. (Lower-Body Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Austin won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Austin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
30.03.25	St. Louis City - Austin FC	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Austin FC - San Diego	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Los Angeles - Austin FC	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Austin FC - Colorado Rapids	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLL
- Portland Timbers
MLS
30.03.25	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Nashville SC - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.03.25	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:0
02.10.24	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	0:1
29.05.24	Austin FC - Portland Timbers	0:2
17.09.23	Austin FC - Portland Timbers	1:2
06.05.23	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	2:2
31.08.22	Austin FC - Portland Timbers	1:2
12.03.22	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:0

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