Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Austin FC		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.60
	2.45	3.45	2.72
	2.54	3.49	2.86
	2.52	3.62	2.64	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.75
	2.56	3.52	2.81	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.72 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
38%

Draw
27.3%

Colorado Rapids
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Austin FC - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Colorado will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Colorado (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Colorado (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 15. Bell J. 29. Guilherme Biro 30. Rosales J. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 14. Sabovic B. 17. Gallagher J. 11. Torres F. 9. Vazquez B. 38. Torres E.	41. Hansen N. (G) 4. Cannon R. 6. Holding R. (C) 5. Williams L. 29. Navarro M. 8. Ojediran H. 88. Maziz Y. 13. Frederick W. 10. Aaronson P. 77. Yapi D. 32. Phillip D.
Substitutes
24. Alastuey J. 32. Burton M. 35. Djordjevic M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 77. Placheta P. 21. Ramirez C. 5. Svatok O.	12. Atencio J. 31. Beaudry A. (G) 24. Cobb N. 61. Dowd B. (G) 16. Harris A. 93. Minoungou G. 2. Rosenberry K. 33. Thompson K. 99. Travis J.
Coaches
Arnaud D.	Wells M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Aaronson P. ⚽,
27', Maziz Y. ↓, Atencio J. ↑,
45+4', Atencio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez I. ↓, Alastuey J. ↑,
58', Vazquez B. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
58', Gallagher J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
62', Cannon R. 🟨,
69', Phillip D. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Kolmanic Z. (A),
82', Sabovic B. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
86', Yapi D. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
86', Navarro M. ↓, Travis J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Austin: Uzuni M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Diop M. (Knee Injury) Ku-DiPietro T. (Shoulder Injury) Steffen Z. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Austin: Desler M. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Austin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Outrights of MLS for now

Colorado Rapids: 1.68% Austin FC: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
05.09.26	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
26.08.26	Toluca - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
MLS
22.08.26	Austin FC - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLTW
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
05.09.26	Columbus Crew - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Colorado Rapids - Sporting Kansas City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.08.26	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	1:0
07.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	0:2
08.03.25	Austin FC - Colorado Rapids	0:1
19.10.24	Austin FC - Colorado Rapids	3:2
15.06.24	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	2:0
30.09.23	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	1:0
25.03.23	Austin FC - Colorado Rapids	1:1

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