Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Carvajal M. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	RTBF
Bulgaria	BNT 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport, Slovenia TV2
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	SRF
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Australia W		France W

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.55	3.25	2.17
	3.4	3.2	2.23
	3.95	3.26	2.11
	3.64	3.22	2.14
	3.65	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.52)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	2.15 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia W
26%

Draw
29.7%

France W
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France W than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	21.7%	52.2%

Australia W - France W Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). France will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 21. Carpenter E. 15. Hunt C. 14. Kennedy A. 7. Catley S. (C) 16. Raso H. 19. Gorry K. 23. Cooney-Cross K. 9. Foord C. 10. van Egmond E. 11. Fowler M.	16. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 5. De Almeida E. 2. Lakrar M. 3. Renard W. (C) 7. Karchaoui S. 15. Dali K. 8. Geyoro G. 6. Toletti S. 13. Bacha S. 9. Le Sommer E. 11. Diani K.
Substitutes
8. Chidiac A. 22. Grant C. 20. Kerr S. 3. Luik A. 12. Micah T. (G) 2. Nevin C. 4. Polkinghorne C. 17. Simon K. 5. Vine C. 6. Wheeler C. 1. Williams L. (G) 13. Yallop T.	18. Asseyi V. 23. Becho V. 20. Cascarino E. 1. Durand S. (G) 4. Fazer L. 19. Feller N. 17. Le Garrec L. 10. Majri A. 12. Mateo C. 22. Perisset E. 21. Picaud C. (G) 14. Tounkara A.
Coaches
Gustavsson T.	Renard H.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

France could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

France will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Australia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia W
FIFA World Cup Women
07.08.23	Australia W - Denmark W	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Canada W - Australia W	0:4 ✺
27.07.23	Australia W - Nigeria W	2:3 ✺
20.07.23	Australia W - Ireland W	1:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
14.07.23	Australia W - France W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW
- France W
FIFA World Cup Women
08.08.23	France W - Morocco W	4:0 ✺
02.08.23	Panama W - France W	3:6 ✺
29.07.23	France W - Brazil W	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	France W - Jamaica W	0:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
14.07.23	Australia W - France W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
14.07.23	Australia W - France W	1:0
05.10.18	France W - Australia W	2:0
International Tournament Cyprus Women
07.03.14	Australia W - France W	2:3
Friendly International Women
06.07.13	France W - Australia W	0:2

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