Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany
World	Onefootball


	Austria Klagenfurt		Swarovski Tirol

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.65
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.45	2.52
	2.85	3.42	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.62
	2.86	3.34	2.48	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.32)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	2.52 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Klagenfurt
34.2%

Draw
28.2%

Swarovski Tirol
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Klagenfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Klagenfurt's form might have worsened.

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swarovski Tirol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Klagenfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Swarovski Tirol (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Swarovski Tirol (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Klagenfurt will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Swarovski Tirol (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Spari S. (G) 17. Straudi S. 19. Szerencsi N. 31. Mahrer T. 34. Robatsch J. 14. Cvetko C. 18. Salifou D. 6. Koch T. 24. Wernitznig C. 77. Bobzien B. 9. Binder N.	40. Stejskal A. (G) 27. Jaunegg D. 24. David J. 3. Gugganig D. 7. Butler Q. 4. Muller V. (C) 30. Taferner M. 28. Geris T. 10. Blume B. 16. Hinterseer L. 23. Skrbo S.
Substitutes
2. Bonnah S. 23. Delic D. 8. Gezos K. 7. Jaritz F. 1. Knaller M. (G) 10. Toshevski D. 95. Wydra P.	11. Anselm T. 8. Diarra M. 17. Naschberger J. 14. Ranacher A. 1. Schermer P. (G) 20. Ustundag C. 21. Votter Y.
Coaches
Jancker C.	Semlic P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Cvetko C. ⚽, Binder N. (A),
37', Salifou D. 🟨,
41', Koch T. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Muller V. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Geris T. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Blume B. ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, Gugganig D. ⚽, Blume B. (A),
61', Szerencsi N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
61', Salifou D. ↓, Jaritz F. ↑,
61', Skrbo S. 🟨,
62', David J. 🟨,
70', Cvetko C. ↓, Gezos K. ↑,
73', Butler Q. ↓, Ranacher A. ↑,
78', Bobzien B. 🟨,
78', Skrbo S. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
78', Koch T. ↓, Delic D. ↑,
78', Bobzien B. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
83', Blume B. ↓, Naschberger J. ↑,
83', Hinterseer L. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Diarra M. ⚽,
90+6', Gezos K. (Pen),
90+7', Jaritz F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria Klagenfurt won 3.

Austria Klagenfurt has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Swarovski Tirol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Austria Klagenfurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Austria Klagenfurt: Bennetts K. (Calf Injury) Dehl L. (Injury) Hinteregger M. (Yellow Cards) Kitz M. (Red Card) Kujrakovic B. (Knee Injury) Schwarz A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Okungbowa O. (Muscle Injury) Rieder F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Czyborra L. (Back Injury) Eckmayr A. (Knee Injury) Sulzbacher L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Austria Klagenfurt won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Austria Klagenfurt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
02.05.25	Grazer AK - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	LASK Linz - Austria Klagenfurt	6:0 ✺
22.04.25	Austria Klagenfurt - LASK Linz	1:4 ✺
19.04.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Grazer AK	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
03.05.25	Swarovski Tirol - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Rheindorf Altach - Swarovski Tirol	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	Swarovski Tirol - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	LASK Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
12.04.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	5:3
01.12.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	0:3
24.08.24	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	0:1
28.10.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	1:0
29.07.23	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	1:3
29.10.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	2:3
07.08.22	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	2:2

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