Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tivoli Stadion Tirol (Innsbruck)

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany
World	Onefootball


	Swarovski Tirol		Austria Klagenfurt

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.33	3.15	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.35	3.14	3.24	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.46)	3.08 ↓ (3.53)	3.22 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swarovski Tirol
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Austria Klagenfurt
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Austria Klagenfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austria Klagenfurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austria Klagenfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swarovski Tirol: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swarovski Tirol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Stejskal A. (G) 27. Jaunegg D. 24. David J. 22. Okungbowa O. 7. Butler Q. 17. Naschberger J. 4. Muller V. (C) 25. Czyborra L. 10. Blume B. 16. Hinterseer L. 23. Skrbo S.	30. Spari S. (G) 8. Gezos K. 31. Mahrer T. (C) 34. Robatsch J. 6. Koch T. 17. Straudi S. 24. Wernitznig C. 14. Cvetko C. 27. Kuhn J. 10. Toshevski D. 11. Bennetts K.
Substitutes
8. Diarra M. 28. Geris T. 19. Huetz C. 14. Ranacher A. 33. Rieder F. 1. Schermer P. (G) 20. Ustundag C.	9. Binder N. 2. Bonnah S. 7. Jaritz F. 35. Kitz M. 1. Knaller M. (G) 19. Szerencsi N. 95. Wydra P.
Coaches
Semlic P.	Pacult P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Muller V. ⚽, Blume B. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Skrbo S. ⚽,
38', Robatsch J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Hinterseer L. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
46', Gezos K. ↓, Kitz M. ↑,
47', Mahrer T. 🟨,
48', 3 - 0, Diarra M. ⚽, David J. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Wernitznig C. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Skrbo S. ⚽, Butler Q. (A),
61', Butler Q. 🟨,
62', Straudi S. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
62', Kuhn J. ↓, Jaritz F. ↑,
65', Toshevski D. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
65', Koch T. ↓, Wydra P. ↑,
69', 5 - 1, Naschberger J. ⚽, Blume B. (A),
75', Skrbo S. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
75', Butler Q. ↓, Ranacher A. ↑,
86', Naschberger J. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
89', Blume B. ↓, Geris T. ↑,
89', 5 - 2, Binder N. ⚽, Cvetko C. (A),
90+3', Ranacher A. 🟨,
90+3', 5 - 3, Wernitznig C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swarovski Tirol won 2.

Swarovski Tirol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Austria Klagenfurt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Eckmayr A. (Inactive) Gugganig D. (Red Card) Lawrence J. (Yellow Cards) Sulzbacher L. (Knee Injury) Taferner M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Austria Klagenfurt: Bobzien B. (Yellow Cards) Koch T. (Inactive) Salifou D. (Yellow Cards) Schwarz A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swarovski Tirol won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Swarovski Tirol won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
05.04.25	Swarovski Tirol - Hartberg	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	LASK Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Swarovski Tirol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
05.04.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Rheindorf Altach	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Hartberg - Austria Klagenfurt	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Kapfenberger SV	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.03.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Rheindorf Altach	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Austria Wien - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
01.12.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	0:3
24.08.24	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	0:1
28.10.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	1:0
29.07.23	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	1:3
29.10.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	2:3
07.08.22	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	2:2
04.12.21	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	0:1

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