Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Generali Arena (Vienna)

Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Austria Wien		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.15	3.6	3.25
	2.3	3.35	3
	2.31	3.33	3.21
	2.16	3.68	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.93)	3.48 ↑ (3.48)	3.09 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
42.4%

Draw
27.1%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Wien's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Wien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.9%	21.1%

Austria Wien - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 19 - 50%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 34.1% – 65.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Austria has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (3%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a small chance of round of 16 (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (34%), has a chance of round of 16 (19%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 46, big importance 74, match rating 60. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Austria have a series of guest games.

Austria will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Austria: Baltaxa M. (Injury) Handl J. (Injury) Huskovic M. (Injury) Raguz M. (Injury) Wustinger F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
03.09.22	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
31.08.22	Siegendorf - Austria Wien	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.08.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Fenerbahçe - Austria Wien	4:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
21.08.22	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
03.09.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Haifa	1:2 ✺
31.08.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 penalties ✺
18.08.22	Universitatea Craiova - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWT

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