Match Info

BRAZIL: Paraibano - Round 6

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Auto Esporte		Esporte de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.96	3.35	3.45
	1.99	3.14	3.52
	1.96	3.37	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2.03	3.43	3.53
	1.96	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auto Esporte
46.2%

Draw
27.5%

Esporte de Patos
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

22.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auto Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Esporte de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auto Esporte than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auto Esporte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esporte de Patos than the current prediction. (+5%)

Auto Esporte - Esporte de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Lima (G) 3. Alex Santos 8. Anderson 7. Betinho 14. Claudevan 9. Pedrao 11. Pedrinho 15. Rafael Tchuca 2. Raphinha 5. Ray Sape 4. Wesley Pereira (C)	1. Caio Ruan (G) 4. Eduardo Bahia 10. Fillipi Pires 8. Gustavo Henrique (C) 5. Joao Marcelo 9. Mano Walter 7. Matheus Guara 3. Niel 2. Pedrinho 23. Rodriguinho 6. Ronald
Substitutes
12. de Oliveira A. (G) 17. Doido de Mandacaru 16. Ferreira D. 6. Jhon Kennedy 19. Marcio H. 13. Siri Vitor 18. Thiaguinho 20. Ulisses	15. Carlinhos 16. Fabio 21. Guilherme 20. Gustavo Vargas 18. Jubileu 22. Juninho 13. Marcelo Barbosa 14. Marinho 19. Messias 17. Pedro Junior 12. Renato (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Gustavo Henrique ⚽,
18', Eduardo Bahia ↓, Marinho ↑,
30', Fillipi Pires ↓, Pedro Junior ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Anderson ⚽,
38', 🟨,
43', Ray Sape 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ray Sape ↓, Jhon Kennedy ↑,
46', Doido de Mandacaru ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Messias ⚽,
58', Rodriguinho ↓, Messias ↑,
58', Mano Walter ↓, Gustavo Vargas ↑,
64', Claudevan ↓, Marcio H. ↑,
64', Anderson ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Gustavo Henrique ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Pedrao ⚽,
86', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auto Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
26.01.25	Auto Esporte - Sousa	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Auto Esporte - Campinense	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Auto Esporte - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Treze - Auto Esporte	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.24	ABC - Auto Esporte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 TTLTT
- Esporte Clube de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.25	Treze - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Esporte de Patos - Sousa	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Pombal - Esporte de Patos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano 2
09.10.24	Auto Esporte - Esporte de Patos	1:0 penalties
19.09.24	Auto Esporte - Esporte de Patos	0:0

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