Match Info

Paraibano - Round 8

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Treze		Esporte de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	7.5
	1.36	4.15	7.5
	1.33	4.18	8.43
	1.35	4.26	8.43	Watch
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.32	4.1	10
	1.35	4.25	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)	4.15 ↑ (3.79)	8.34 ↑ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
67.3%

Draw
21.8%

Esporte de Patos
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treze's performance.

Esporte de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esporte de Patos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Treze - Esporte de Patos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Esporte de Patos (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Esporte de Patos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodolfo Castro (G) 70. Hugo Borges 21. Jean Carlo 6. Luan Freire 3. Lucas Rocha (C) 9. Lucas Vieira 8. Marquinhos 7. Pedro Igor 2. Ryan Santos 11. Silvano 4. Yan Oliveira	1. Pontes Y. (G) 4. Artur Potiguar (C) 17. Capixaba 9. Edson Kapa 7. Gabigol 8. Gustavo Henrique 5. Joao Marcelo 11. Juniel 2. Lazaro 10. Mano Walter 6. Matheus Lima
Substitutes
17. Brinquedo 5. Bruno Gabriel 20. Caio Gomes 22. Diego Clemente 19. Italo Melo 18. Joao Victor 12. Joao Vitor (G) 16. Juninho Pianco 14. Lucas Gomes 99. Rafael Tanque 15. Renilson 10. Thiago Alagoano	12. Bruno (G) 13. Carlinhos 16. China P. 3. Eduardo Matuto 21. Guilherme 19. Kauan 20. Madson 14. Marcelo Barbosa 18. Marquinhos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Mano Walter (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Silvano ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas Vieira ↓, Rafael Tanque ↑,
46', Pedro Igor ↓, Lucas Gomes ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Silvano ⚽,
57', Lucas Gomes 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Silvano ⚽, Ryan Santos (A),
64', Gabigol ↓, Madson ↑,
65', Silvano 🟨,
66', Mano Walter 🟨,
67', Rafael Tanque 🟨,
70', Madson 🟨,
72', Mano Walter ↓, Guilherme ↑,
75', Jean Carlo ↓, Thiago Alagoano ↑,
75', Hugo Borges ↓, Brinquedo ↑,
81', Matheus Lima ↓, Chines P. ↑,
81', Juniel ↓, Eduardo Matuto ↑,
87', Silvano ↓, Renilson ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Treze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Treze is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Treze won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Treze won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.02.26	Treze - Campinense	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Treze - Confiança PB	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sousa - Treze	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Treze - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Pombal - Treze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Esporte Clube de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.02.26	Confiança PB - Esporte de Patos	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Esporte de Patos - Pombal	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sousa - Esporte de Patos	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.25	Treze - Esporte de Patos	3:0
17.02.19	Esporte de Patos - Treze	1:0
13.01.19	Treze - Esporte de Patos	3:0

Treze - Esporte de Patos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide