Match Info

Paraibano - Round 4

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday


	Esporte de Patos		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.82	3.21	1.87
	3.18	3.19	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.44	3.34	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.84)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esporte de Patos
27.1%

Draw
28.6%

Nacional de Patos
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esporte de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esporte de Patos's form might have worsened.

Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Miller (G) 4. Artur Potiguar (C) 17. Capixaba 10. Claudinho 9. Edson Kapa 8. Gustavo Henrique 5. Joao Marcelo 2. Lazaro 11. Marquinhos 7. Matheus Guara 6. Matheus Lima	12. Gustavo (G) 7. De Araujo F. 2. Fabricio Recife 10. Felipe Araujo 3. Gabriel Alves 5. Guto 9. Pingo 8. Renezinho 11. Rogerio 6. Tadeu 4. Tulio
Substitutes
22. Bruno (G) 13. Carlinhos 16. Eduardo Matuto 15. Gabriel Alemao 19. Gabriel Rocha 20. Guilherme 23. Iran . Juniel 21. Kaua 14. Marcelo Barbosa 18. Mikael 12. Pontes Y. (G)	17. Abnner Oliveira 22. Clebson 15. Jardel 19. Max Nobrega 18. Negrito 14. Pernambucano G. 24. Renan 16. Riquelme 21. Rodriguinho 23. Thalison 20. Vitinho 1. Yslan (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Tadeu 🟨,
38', Joao Marcelo 🟨,
40', Guto 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guto ↓, Renan ↑,
60', Fabricio Recife ↓, Thalison ↑,
60', Felipe Araujo ↓, Clebson ↑,
63', Marquinhos 🟨,
68', De Araujo F. ↓, Abnner Oliveira ↑,
69', Marquinhos ↓, Eduardo Matuto ↑,
77', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Gabriel Rocha ↑,
79', Pingo ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
81', Luiz Miller 🟨,
89', Edson Kapa ↓, Guilherme ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Paraibano 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Esporte de Patos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nacional de Patos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Esporte de Patos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Esporte de Patos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esporte Clube de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
24.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Esporte de Patos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.25	Potiguar - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
19.02.25	Picuiense - Esporte de Patos	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
25.01.26	Nacional de Patos - Confiança PB	4:4 ✺
22.01.26	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nacional de Patos - Pombal	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Treze	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Auto Esporte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
26.01.25	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	2:2
10.02.19	Nacional de Patos - Esporte de Patos	2:1

Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide