Match Info

Catarinense U20 - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Avaí U20		Joinville U20

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.2	4.6
	1.38	4.45	6.3
	1.37	4.6	5.95
	1.42	4.32	6.29	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.35	4.55	7.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	4.35 ↑ (3.93)	6.12 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí U20
64.4%

Draw
20.8%

Joinville U20
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Joinville U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí U20 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Avaí U20 - Joinville U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

Avaí U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Joinville U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Joinville U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avaí U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Avaí U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí U20
Brasileiro U20
07.05.26	Avaí U20 - América MG U20	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
02.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Avaí U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
29.04.26	Avaí U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
26.04.26	Carlos Renaux U20 - Avaí U20	0:5 ✺
Brasileiro U20
25.04.26	Criciúma U20 - Avaí U20	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTTWW
- Joinville U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
05.05.26	Joinville U20 - Brusque U20	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Joinville U20 - Chapecoense U20	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Nação Araquari U20 - Joinville U20	4:4 ✺
13.04.26	Figueirense U20 - Joinville U20	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Joinville U20 - Concórdia U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Catarinense U20
07.06.25	Joinville U20 - Avaí U20	1:2
05.04.25	Avaí U20 - Joinville U20	3:4
25.05.24	Joinville U20 - Avaí U20	2:2
23.03.24	Avaí U20 - Joinville U20	5:1

Avaí U20 - Joinville U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide